Statball

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Chicago White Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
2
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 2 H, 0 ERoyals · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Munetaka Murakami lines out sharply to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
top 9Miguel Vargas grounds out, pitcher Lucas Erceg to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Chase Meidroth flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. flies out to center fielder Luisangel Acuña.
bot 8Maikel Garcia grounds into a double play, shortstop Colson Montgomery to second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Kyle Isbel out at 2nd. Maikel Garcia out at 1st.
top 8Derek Hill lines out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
top 8Tanner Murray pops out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino in foul territory.
top 8Luisangel Acuña flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Lenyn Sosa 1-3 · Derek Hill 1-3 · Tanner Murray 0-3
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-3 · Salvador Perez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.