Statball

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Chicago White Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
2
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 4 H, 0 ERoyals · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colson Montgomery flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
top 9Munetaka Murakami grounds out, second baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Maikel Garcia scores.02
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. flies out to right fielder Dustin Harris in foul territory. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.
bot 8Maikel Garcia doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Andrew Benintendi.
top 8Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
top 8Reese McGuire flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Lenyn Sosa 1-3 · Tanner Murray 1-3 · Reese McGuire 1-3
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Maikel Garcia 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 1-4 · Michael Massey 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.