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Minnesota Twins
5
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 8 H, 1 ERoyals · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
bot 9Lane Thomas grounds into a double play, shortstop Tristan Gray to second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens. Jonathan India to 3rd. Isaac Collins out at 2nd. Lane Thomas out at 1st.
bot 9Isaac Collins walks. Jonathan India to 2nd.
bot 9Jonathan India reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Royce Lewis.
top 9Tristan Gray pops out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Bell homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.51
top 9Kody Clemens homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.41

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Bell 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt Wallner 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 1-3 · Salvador Perez 1-4 · Vinnie Pasquantino 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.