Statball

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Milwaukee Brewers
2
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
8
100% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Brewers · 5 H, 1 ERoyals · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Joey Ortiz lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Blake Perkins strikes out swinging.
top 9David Hamilton strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino pops out to third baseman David Hamilton.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. grounds out, third baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Jake Bauers.
bot 8Maikel Garcia singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
top 8Brandon Lockridge grounds into a force out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to second baseman Jonathan India. Jake Bauers out at 2nd.
top 8Gary Sánchez called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 1-4 · Sal Frelick 1-2 · Garrett Mitchell 1-4, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Maikel Garcia 3-5, 1 RBI · Carter Jensen 2-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.