Statball

← All live games · Kauffman Stadium

Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Twins · 4 H, 0 ERoyals · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Matt Wallner grounds out, second baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Ryan Jeffers singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Luke Keaschall lines out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Byron Buxton lines out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Lane Thomas flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Salvador Perez flies out to second baseman Luke Keaschall.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino called out on strikes.
top 8Trevor Larnach grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Brooks Lee out at 2nd. Trevor Larnach out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Wallner 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brooks Lee 1-3 · Austin Martin 1-1
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Isbel 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Maikel Garcia 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.