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Minnesota Twins
9
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
13
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 9 H, 1 ERoyals · 15 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James Outman grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Loftin to shortstop Tyler Tolbert. Tristan Gray out at 2nd.
top 9Austin Martin pops out to shortstop Tyler Tolbert on the infield fly rule.
top 9Brooks Lee lines out sharply to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Tristan Gray singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Victor Caratini to 2nd.
top 9Victor Caratini walks.
top 9Josh Bell homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Wallner scores. Ryan Jeffers scores.913
top 9Ryan Jeffers walks. Matt Wallner to 2nd.
top 9Matt Wallner singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Victor Caratini 1-4, 1 RBI · Brooks Lee 1-4, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Isbel 4-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jonathan India 2-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Jac Caglianone 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.