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Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 8 H, 0 EAstros · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.
bot 9Daulton Varsho singles on a ground ball to right fielder John Rave.
bot 9Joey Loperfido called out on strikes.
bot 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 9Yainer Diaz homers (12) on a line drive to left field.5–2
top 9Kyle Isbel grounds out softly, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Michael Massey strikes out swinging.
top 9Salvador Perez lines out sharply to shortstop Jeremy Peña.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · John Rave 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yainer Diaz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jeremy Peña 3-4 · Daulton Varsho 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.