Statball

← All live games · Daikin Park

Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111211
Royals · 3 H, 0 EAstros · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Michael Massey grounds out to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
top 9Maikel Garcia grounds out, second baseman Nick Allen to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
top 9Nick Loftin flies out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
bot 8Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.
bot 8LaMonte Wade Jr. flies out to right fielder John Rave. Cam Smith to 3rd.
bot 8Taylor Trammell homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.2–6
bot 8Daulton Varsho flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 8Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-3, 1 RBI · John Rave 1-3 · Isaac Collins 0-3
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · LaMonte Wade Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.