Statball

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Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
4
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 4 H, 0 EAstros · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tyler Tolbert strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Loftin pops out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
top 9Salvador Perez singles on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Maikel Garcia flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 8Jose Altuve grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Isaac Paredes strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez walks.
bot 8Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 1-1
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Paredes 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.