Statball

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Chicago White Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789224
Sox · 7 H, 0 EAstros · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
top 9Chase Meidroth singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 9Colson Montgomery grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Braden Montgomery grounds out, first baseman Christian Walker to pitcher AJ Blubaugh.
bot 8Cam Smith pops out to first baseman Munetaka Murakami in foul territory.
bot 8Yainer Diaz reaches on a fielder's choice out, pitcher José Urquidy to third baseman Miguel Vargas. Taylor Trammell out at 3rd.
bot 8Taylor Trammell doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk.
bot 8Christian Walker grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Chase Meidroth 2-4 · Miguel Vargas 2-4 · Braden Montgomery 1-3
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Altuve 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Walker 2-4, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.