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Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
3
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Diamondbacks · 3 H, 0 EAstros · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tim Tawa strikes out swinging.
top 9Jordan Lawlar strikes out swinging.
top 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jose Altuve grounds into a double play, second baseman Ketel Marte to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Tim Tawa. Isaac Paredes out at 2nd. Jose Altuve out at 1st.
bot 8Isaac Paredes hit by pitch.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez flies out to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
top 8Lars Nootbaar lines out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 8Ketel Marte grounds into a double play, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Gabriel Moreno out at 2nd. Ketel Marte out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Moreno 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-3 · Geraldo Perdomo 1-3
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yainer Diaz 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4 · Isaac Paredes 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.