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Chicago White Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Sox · 3 H, 0 EAstros · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colson Montgomery pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
top 9Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
top 9Tommy Pham grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Christian Walker flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 8Cam Smith walks. Daulton Varsho to 3rd. Nelson Velázquez to 2nd.
bot 8Nelson Velázquez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve scores. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.0–2
bot 8Daulton Varsho grounds into a force out, pitcher Sean Newcomb to catcher Drew Romo. Nick Allen out at home. Isaac Paredes to 3rd. Jose Altuve to 2nd. Daulton Varsho to 1st.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters, deflected by second baseman Chase Meidroth.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 2-3 · Munetaka Murakami 1-4 · Randal Grichuk 0-1
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 2-4 · Isaac Paredes 1-3 · Cam Smith 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.