Statball

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Chicago White Sox
3
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921123
Sox · 5 H, 1 EAstros · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brenton Doyle strikes out swinging.
top 9Chase Meidroth walks.
top 9Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
top 9Braden Montgomery lines out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
bot 8Christian Vázquez grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
bot 8Taylor Trammell pops out to catcher Jake Rogers in foul territory.
top 8Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
top 8Miguel Vargas flies out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Colson Montgomery 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chase Meidroth 1-3, 1 RBI · Sam Antonacci 1-4
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nelson Velázquez 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cam Smith 2-4, 2 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.