Statball

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Seattle Mariners
10
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
5
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 15 H, 0 EAstros · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cam Smith pops out to first baseman Josh Naylor in foul territory.
bot 9Taylor Trammell flies out to right fielder Victor Robles.
bot 9Christian Walker grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Jose Altuve scores.105
bot 9Jose Altuve triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Brock Rodden strikes out swinging.
top 9Victor Robles flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out to second baseman Jose Altuve.
top 9Cole Young homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor scores.104

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Brendan Donovan 3-5, 3 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-5
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Vázquez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.