Statball

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Seattle Mariners
7
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
10
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 12 H, 0 EAstros · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Christian Walker homers (23) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Altuve scores. Daulton Varsho scores.710
bot 10Daulton Varsho singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Nick Allen scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.77
bot 10Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Nick Allen to 3rd.
bot 10Taylor Trammell strikes out swinging.
bot 10Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Robles. Jeremy Peña scores.76
bot 10Yordan Alvarez grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.
top 10Cole Young flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 10Brock Rodden out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Victor Robles scores.75

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Robles 3-5, 2 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-4, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-4
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-5, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.