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Toronto Blue Jays
3
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Jays · 7 H, 0 EAstros · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Walker flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 9Daulton Varsho grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Isaac Paredes grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Jesús Sánchez strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Alejandro Kirk strikes out swinging.
top 9George Springer strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Jeremy Peña walks.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alejandro Kirk 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Myles Straw 2-3 · Kazuma Okamoto 2-4
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 2-4 · Jose Altuve 2-4 · Yainer Diaz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.