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Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
7
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892241
Jays · 5 H, 1 EAstros · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Smith grounds into a double play, second baseman Nick Allen to shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Alejandro Kirk out at 2nd. Josh Smith out at 1st.
top 9Alejandro Kirk reaches on a fielder's choice. George Springer to 3rd. George Springer advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by second baseman Nick Allen.
top 9George Springer singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez lines out to left fielder Davis Schneider.
bot 8Jeremy Peña walks.
bot 8Cam Smith flies out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
bot 8Yainer Diaz lines out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Myles Straw 2-3, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 1-3 · George Springer 1-3
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Altuve 3-4, 2 RBI · Taylor Trammell 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Yainer Diaz 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.