Statball

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Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
7
100% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921124
Rangers · 6 H, 0 EAstros · 15 H, 1 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Austin Wynns grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Ezequiel Duran flies out to right fielder Cam Smith in foul territory.
top 9Evan Carter pops out to second baseman Jose Altuve.
bot 8Cam Smith lines out to center fielder Evan Carter.
bot 8Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford.
bot 8Taylor Trammell grounds into a double play, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger. Christian Walker out at 2nd. Taylor Trammell out at 1st.
bot 8Christian Walker walks.
top 8Jake Burger strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Nimmo 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Burger 2-4 · Evan Carter 1-3, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 4-5, 2 RBI · Cam Smith 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.