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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
5
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912113
Marlins · 8 H, 1 EAstros · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kyle Stowers pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
top 9Otto Lopez grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.
top 9Joe Mack called out on strikes.
top 9Javier Sanoja hits a ground-rule double (19) on a line drive down the right-field line.
bot 8Jose Altuve grounds into a triple play, third baseman Leo Jiménez to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers. Yordan Alvarez out at 3rd. Isaac Paredes out at 2nd. Jose Altuve out at 1st.
bot 8Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Javier Sanoja.
top 8Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joe Mack 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 2-4 · Javier Sanoja 2-4
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremy Peña 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.