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Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
5
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892113
Marlins · 7 H, 1 EAstros · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Esteury Ruiz called out on strikes.
top 9Joe Mack grounds out, second baseman Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
bot 8Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yainer Diaz grounds out softly, first baseman Kyle Stowers to pitcher Calvin Faucher.
bot 8LaMonte Wade Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Isaac Paredes homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.25
bot 8Yordan Alvarez homers (34) on a fly ball to left center field. Jeremy Peña scores.24

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 2-4 · Esteury Ruiz 1-4 · Javier Sanoja 1-4, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.