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Miami Marlins
5
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
8
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 9 H, 0 EAstros · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Liam Hicks flies out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
top 9Xavier Edwards lines out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
top 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell, deflected by shortstop Jeremy Peña. Javier Sanoja scores. Kyle Stowers to 2nd.58
top 9Kyle Stowers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.
top 9Javier Sanoja singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Brian Navarreto lines out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
bot 8Lucas Spence grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 8Cam Smith walks.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Joe Mack 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-4
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremy Peña 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.