Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922111
Orioles · 6 H, 2 EAstros · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Zach Dezenzo grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Cam Smith pops out to catcher Sam Huff in foul territory.
bot 9Lucas Spence grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
top 9Sam Huff strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Alonso grounds out, second baseman Raynel Delgado to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr. Dylan Beavers to 3rd.
top 9Dylan Beavers doubles (11) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 8Yainer Diaz grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Beavers 2-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Altuve 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-4 · Raynel Delgado 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.