Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789101111211
Orioles · 5 H, 2 EAstros · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Zach Dezenzo called out on strikes, catcher Samuel Basallo to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 11Cam Smith grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso. LaMonte Wade Jr. to 3rd.
bot 11Yainer Diaz lines out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 11Christian Encarnacion-Strand pops out to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
top 11Leody Taveras singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Taylor Ward scores. Tyler O'Neill to 3rd.42
top 11Tyler O'Neill singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jose Altuve. Gunnar Henderson scores. Taylor Ward to 2nd.32
top 11Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
top 11Pete Alonso called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 2-3, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-1, 1 RBI · Tyler O'Neill 1-2, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Zach Dezenzo 2-5 · Lucas Spence 2-4 · Isaac Paredes 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.