Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
3
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891211
Orioles · 5 H, 0 EAstros · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 9Isaac Paredes walks. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.
bot 9Yordan Alvarez flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 9Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 9Taylor Trammell flies out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson walks.
top 9Coby Mayo pops out to second baseman Jose Altuve.
top 9Colton Cowser flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Adley Rutschman 1-2 · Jackson Holliday 1-2
Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 2-3 · Yordan Alvarez 2-3, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.