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Tampa Bay Rays
8
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
10
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 9 H, 0 EAstros · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Yordan Alvarez homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Altuve scores.810
bot 9Jose Altuve walks.
top 9Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.
top 9Richie Palacios walks.
top 9Jonny DeLuca flies out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. flies out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.
bot 8Nick Allen pops out to first baseman Ryan Vilade in foul territory.
bot 8Taylor Trammell strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Richie Palacios 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Yainer Diaz 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jose Altuve 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.