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Tampa Bay Rays
0
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911
Rays · 4 H, 2 EAstros · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ben Williamson strikes out swinging.
top 9Chandler Simpson lines out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
top 9Ryan Vilade strikes out swinging.
top 9Junior Caminero walks.
bot 8Christian Walker grounds into a double play, third baseman Junior Caminero to second baseman Ryan Vilade to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Isaac Paredes out at 2nd. Christian Walker out at 1st.
bot 8Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 8Jonathan Aranda flies out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 1-4 · Jonny DeLuca 1-1 · Jonathan Aranda 1-4
Houston Astros
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cam Smith 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.