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Tampa Bay Rays
3
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111
Rays · 5 H, 1 EAstros · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cam Smith lines out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 9Isaac Paredes lines out to second baseman Ben Williamson.
top 9Cedric Mullins grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
top 9Jonathan Aranda grounds out, shortstop Raynel Delgado to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez grounds out, second baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Jose Altuve grounds out, pitcher Casey Legumina to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Fortes 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yandy Díaz 1-4
Houston Astros
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3 · Cam Smith 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.