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Minnesota Twins
8
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
3
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 8 H, 2 EAstros · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brice Matthews flies out to center fielder Ryan Kreidler.
bot 9Isaac Paredes reaches on a missed catch error by first baseman Royce Lewis, assist to third baseman Brooks Lee. Jose Altuve to 3rd.
bot 9Yordan Alvarez flies out to center fielder Ryan Kreidler.
bot 9Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to shortstop Tristan Gray.
bot 9Nick Allen strikes out swinging.
top 9Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Bell flies out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
top 9Kody Clemens flies out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Josh Bell 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trevor Larnach 3-5, 2 RBI
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4 · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Nick Allen 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.