Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789316
Twins · 6 H, 1 EAstros · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alex Jackson strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan Kreidler pops out to first baseman Christian Walker in foul territory.
top 9Victor Caratini strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Raynel Delgado grounds out, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Royce Lewis.
bot 8Nick Allen flies out to center fielder Ryan Kreidler.
bot 8Yainer Diaz grounds out, third baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Royce Lewis.
top 8Royce Lewis lines out sharply to shortstop Nick Allen.
top 8Josh Bell grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-4 · Brooks Lee 1-4 · Josh Bell 1-4, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Cam Smith 1-4 · Raynel Delgado 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.