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Minnesota Twins
5
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
4
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922113
Twins · 8 H, 0 EAstros · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Joey Loperfido grounds out softly, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Royce Lewis.
bot 9Cam Smith homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.54
bot 9Taylor Trammell homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Isaac Paredes scores.53
bot 9Christian Walker called out on strikes.
bot 9Isaac Paredes walks.
bot 9Yordan Alvarez grounds out, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Royce Lewis.
top 9Kody Clemens strikes out swinging.
top 9Brooks Lee called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Caratini 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Bell 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Taylor Trammell 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Allen 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.