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Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Guardians · 4 H, 0 EAstros · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9David Fry strikes out swinging.
top 9Daniel Schneemann pops out to first baseman Christian Walker in foul territory.
top 9Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jose Altuve grounds into a force out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Daniel Schneemann. Isaac Paredes out at 2nd.
bot 8Isaac Paredes singles on a fly ball to center fielder Petey Halpin.
bot 8Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez flies out to left fielder David Fry.
top 8Brayan Rocchio flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 1-4, 1 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 1-4 · Petey Halpin 1-3
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 3-4, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Raynel Delgado 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.