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Cleveland Guardians
3
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
9
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 7 H, 1 EAstros · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Petey Halpin flies out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
top 9Gabriel Arias doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
top 9Rhys Hoskins pops out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
bot 8Christian Walker flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jeremy Peña singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder David Fry. Jake Meyers scores.39
bot 8Jake Meyers hits a ground-rule double (5) on a line drive to left-center field. Cam Smith scores.38

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Rhys Hoskins 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Travis Bazzana 2-4 · Brayan Rocchio 2-4, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 3-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Jose Altuve 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.