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Cleveland Guardians
8
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912321
Guardians · 10 H, 0 EAstros · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jose Altuve called out on strikes.
bot 9Isaac Paredes pops out to second baseman Travis Bazzana.
bot 9Joey Loperfido singles on a line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin.
bot 9Taylor Trammell called out on strikes.
top 9Petey Halpin flies out to shortstop Raynel Delgado.
top 9Patrick Bailey flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
top 9Steven Kwan lines out sharply to center fielder Jake Meyers.
bot 8Raynel Delgado strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 4-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Kyle Manzardo 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Patrick Bailey 3-4
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Altuve 2-4 · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Joey Loperfido 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.