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Detroit Tigers
9
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
3
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891131213
Tigers · 11 H, 0 EAstros · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jeremy Peña grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 9Christian Vázquez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Brice Matthews pops out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Zach McKinstry grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Colt Keith homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.93
top 9Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cam Smith grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Hao-Yu Lee. Jake Meyers out at 2nd.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Colt Keith 3-4, 3 HR, 6 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.