Statball

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Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891113
Tigers · 5 H, 1 EAstros · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jake Rogers strikes out swinging.
top 9Wenceel Pérez pops out to first baseman Isaac Paredes in foul territory.
top 9Spencer Torkelson pops out to first baseman Isaac Paredes in foul territory.
top 9Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Raynel Delgado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. Yainer Diaz scores. Cam Smith scores. Joey Loperfido to 3rd.23
bot 8Joey Loperfido walks. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. Cam Smith to 2nd.
bot 8Cam Smith reaches on a fielder's choice. Yainer Diaz to 2nd. Yainer Diaz advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by third baseman Kevin McGonigle.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-3, 1 RBI · Riley Greene 2-4 · Kevin McGonigle 1-3
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Raynel Delgado 2-4, 2 RBI · Jeremy Peña 2-5, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.