Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
5
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789141
Pirates · 9 H, 0 EAstros · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Meyers grounds into a double play, shortstop Jared Triolo to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Taylor Trammell out at 2nd. Jake Meyers out at 1st.
bot 9Collin Price strikes out swinging.
bot 9Taylor Trammell singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn.
top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Horwitz walks.
top 9Jared Triolo called out on strikes.
top 9Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cam Smith grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan O'Hearn 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-5 · Oneil Cruz 2-2
Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Taylor Trammell 2-4 · Jeremy Peña 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.