Statball

← All live games · Daikin Park

Pittsburgh Pirates
10
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
6
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678924312112
Pirates · 12 H, 0 EAstros · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isaac Paredes strikes out swinging.
bot 9Christian Walker called out on strikes.
bot 9Yordan Alvarez singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Nick Gonzales. Christian Vázquez scores.106
bot 9Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Mangum. Jake Meyers scores. Christian Vázquez to 2nd.105
bot 9Christian Vázquez walks.
bot 9Brice Matthews strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Jake Meyers doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 9Endy Rodríguez doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Nick Gonzales scores.104

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Endy Rodríguez 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Oneil Cruz 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Houston Astros
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremy Peña 3-5, 2 RBI · Jake Meyers 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.