Statball

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Texas Rangers
1
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
4
100% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789122
Rangers · 6 H, 0 EAstros · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ezequiel Duran grounds into a force out, shortstop Braden Shewmake to second baseman Nick Allen. Andrew McCutchen out at 2nd.
top 9Andrew McCutchen singles on a ground ball to pitcher Bryan Abreu. Joc Pederson to 2nd.
top 9Josh Jung lines out sharply to center fielder Brice Matthews.
top 9Brandon Nimmo lines out to center fielder Brice Matthews.
bot 8Isaac Paredes lines out to center fielder Alejandro Osuna.
bot 8Jose Altuve grounds into a double play, third baseman Josh Jung to second baseman Justin Foscue to first baseman Jake Burger. Christian Vázquez out at 2nd. Jose Altuve out at 1st.
bot 8Christian Vázquez walks.
top 8Justin Foscue flies out to right fielder Zach Cole.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Burger 1-3 · Alejandro Osuna 1-4 · Joc Pederson 1-3, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
14 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Zach Cole 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.