Statball

← All live games · Daikin Park

Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789211
Mariners · 7 H, 0 EAstros · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jose Altuve singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
bot 9Zach Dezenzo flies out sharply to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
bot 9Braden Shewmake grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9J.P. Crawford grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Rob Refsnyder singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Randy Arozarena grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Cal Raleigh lines out to left fielder Zach Cole.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-4 · Cole Young 1-3, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
14 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 3-4, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 3-5 · Braden Shewmake 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.