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New York Yankees
4
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
7
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 7 H, 1 EAstros · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9José Caballero lines out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
top 9Ryan McMahon singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. J.C. Escarra scores.47
top 9J.C. Escarra doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Paul Goldschmidt scores.37
top 9Paul Goldschmidt doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brice Matthews. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.27
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to second baseman Braden Shewmake.
top 9Cody Bellinger flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Aaron Judge lines out sharply to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 8Christian Vázquez lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Aaron Judge 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4
Houston Astros
15 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.