Statball

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New York Yankees
12
100% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
4
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678931134112
Yankees · 13 H, 0 EAstros · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Vázquez pops out softly to first baseman Ben Rice in foul territory.
bot 9Braden Shewmake flies out to shortstop José Caballero.
bot 9Brice Matthews grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9J.C. Escarra grounds out, second baseman Brice Matthews to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Randal Grichuk grounds out, third baseman Shay Whitcomb to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Yainer Diaz lines out to left fielder Amed Rosario.
bot 8Dustin Harris walks.
bot 8Cam Smith called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · José Caballero 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Rice 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Houston Astros
15 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Yainer Diaz 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Braden Shewmake 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.