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Colorado Rockies
1
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
3
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Rockies · 4 H, 0 EAstros · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brenton Doyle called out on strikes.
top 9Edouard Julien flies out to center fielder Joey Loperfido.
top 9Brett Sullivan strikes out swinging.
bot 8Joey Loperfido strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Yainer Diaz grounds into a double play, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to second baseman Tyler Freeman to first baseman Edouard Julien. Cam Smith out at 2nd. Yainer Diaz out at 1st.
bot 8Cam Smith walks.
top 8Jake McCarthy grounds out, second baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 8Tyler Freeman strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 1-3 · Jake McCarthy 1-3 · Willi Castro 1-1, 1 RBI
Houston Astros
13 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Allen 2-3 · Cam Smith 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.