Statball

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Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Houston Astros
8
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityHouston Astros
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Astros in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121121
Sox · 4 H, 0 EAstros · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Astros win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Astros win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Willson Contreras grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
top 9Trevor Story pops out to shortstop Carlos Correa.
bot 8Yordan Alvarez grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 8Jose Altuve homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.18
bot 8Brice Matthews strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yainer Diaz grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 8Roman Anthony called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-3, 1 RBI · Trevor Story 1-4 · Carlos Narváez 1-3
Houston Astros
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Altuve 4-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brice Matthews 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.