Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891122
Pirates · 7 H, 0 ETigers · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ben Malgeri grounds out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Billy Cook flies out to right fielder Ben Malgeri.
top 9Jacob Gonzalez called out on strikes.
top 9Jake Mangum flies out to left fielder Brett Callahan.
bot 8Hao-Yu Lee strikes out swinging.
bot 8Max Clark pops out to third baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
bot 8John Peck flies out to right fielder Ronny Simon.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Konnor Griffin 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Mangum 2-3, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-4
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eduardo Valencia 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jace Jung 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.