Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
4
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 9 H, 1 ETigers · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Eduardo Valencia homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Hao-Yu Lee scores.3–4
bot 9Kevin McGonigle grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Max Clark scores. Hao-Yu Lee to 3rd.3–2
bot 9Hao-Yu Lee doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Mangum. Max Clark to 3rd.
bot 9Max Clark singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 9Javier Báez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
top 9Billy Cook called out on strikes.
top 9Spencer Horwitz grounds out, shortstop Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Konnor Griffin to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Gonzalez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-4, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Eduardo Valencia 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 2-3 · Javier Báez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.