Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
7
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
8
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 7 H, 1 ETigers · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brandon Lowe called out on strikes.
top 9Konnor Griffin strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Mangum grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Ben Malgeri grounds out, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Jared Triolo.
bot 8Dillon Dingler flies out sharply to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
bot 8Riley Greene lines out to right fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 8Eduardo Valencia doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 8Jared Triolo grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Flores Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 2-4, 2 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-3, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Eduardo Valencia 2-2 · Brett Callahan 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.