Statball

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Minnesota Twins
3
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 5 H, 1 ETigers · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ben Malgeri flies out to right fielder Luke Keaschall.
bot 9Eduardo Valencia lines out to second baseman Ryan Kreidler.
bot 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
top 9Royce Lewis grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Josh Bell flies out sharply to center fielder Max Clark.
top 9Ryan Jeffers doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Ben Malgeri.
top 9Kody Clemens grounds out softly, pitcher Brant Hurter to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 2-3 · Brooks Lee 1-4
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Zach McKinstry 1-3 · Eduardo Valencia 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.