Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
10
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
9
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 3 ETigers · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 12Eduardo Valencia grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 12Riley Greene grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd. Ben Malgeri to 2nd.
bot 12Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
bot 12Ben Malgeri walks.
top 12Christian Encarnacion-Strand grounds out sharply, second baseman Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 12Colton Cowser singles on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. Taylor Ward scores.109
top 12Gunnar Henderson flies out to left fielder Riley Greene. Taylor Ward to 3rd.
top 12Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Holliday 2-3, 3 RBI · Coby Mayo 2-3, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-5
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Javier Báez 2-5, 2 RBI · Matt Vierling 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.