Statball

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Kansas City Royals
3
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 7 H, 0 ETigers · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Spencer Torkelson pops out to catcher Carter Jensen.
bot 9Matt Vierling strikes out swinging.
bot 9Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Riley Greene to 3rd.
bot 9Hao-Yu Lee strikes out swinging.
bot 9Riley Greene singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Isaac Collins flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Michael Massey grounds out, first baseman Colt Keith to pitcher Jacob Waguespack.
top 9Nick Loftin homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.32

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 3-4
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Riley Greene 2-3 · Colt Keith 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.