Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
5
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 12 H, 0 ETigers · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dillon Dingler pops out to first baseman Pete Alonso in foul territory.
bot 9Matt Vierling strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Holliday strikes out swinging.
top 9Leody Taveras grounds into a double play, second baseman Gleyber Torres to shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Taylor Ward out at 2nd. Leody Taveras out at 1st.
top 9Taylor Ward walks.
bot 8James Outman flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Hao-Yu Lee strikes out swinging.
bot 8Zach McKinstry flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Holliday 4-5 · Coby Mayo 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 2-3, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-5 · Spencer Torkelson 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.